Sunday 10 May 2015

Time is Running Out for Us : We Need to Slow Down

Time is Running Out for Us : We Need to Slow Down: By 2050 it estimated that we will add another 2.3 Billion more mouths to feed, that is almost another half world. Even we any stretch of ...

We Need to Slow Down

By 2050 it estimated that we will add another 2.3 Billion more mouths to feed, that is almost another half world. Even we any stretch of imagination, efforts and human innovation it simply impossible to support this burden. We are already seeing the effect of the stress.

The chart below is self explanatory on the berserk pace at which we have made our ancestors (proud?)... 




Another matter of concern is the demographic distribution of this growth. The population of developed world has almost stagnated, if fact in many region it is negative. The latest data from the Population Reference Bureau shows that there are 20 countries in the world with negative or zero natural population growth. This is unprecedented in history!  Some of the countries are :-
Ukraine: 0.8% natural decrease annually; 28% total population decrease by 2050
Russia: -0.6%; -22%
Bulgaria -0.5%; -34%
Hungary -0.3%; -11%
Romania -0.2%; -29%
Croatia -0.2%; -14%
Germany -0.2%; -9%
Czech Republic -0.1%; -8%
Japan 0%; -21%
Poland 0%; -17%
Austria 0%; 8% increase
Italy 0%; -5%

Japan is the only non-European country in the list and it has a 0% natural birth increase and is expected to lose 21% of its population by 2050 (shrinking from 127.8 million to a mere 100.6 million in 2050). The streets of Tokyo won’t be as crowded in a few decades as they are today!

This extraordinary growth in developing countries is concentrated in the poorest part of the World. Its impact on the quality of population, its productivity and contribution (or lack of) to the World development needs no explanation. 




No doubt, the writing is on the Wall. We not only need to Reuse, recycle and reduce, we need to slow down..... 

Sunday 3 May 2015

The One Degree Effect - Peep Into Global Warming


Isn't it surprising that 11 of the warmest years in the history of mankind have occured in the last 12 years.  The ecology of earth is so sensitive that a small 1 degree change in the average atomospheric temperature can have cataclysmic impact on the survival of the mankind and Earth that we are used to live in.


The average temperature rise has been 4 times faster in the last 25 years. No wonder that so much debate is being centered on climate change.  The impact is clearly visible, 
we have seen lakes disappears, glaciers vanishing, the weather pattern changing, disasters all over the World.  Look at the aerial photos of Lake Chad in Africa. 

Haven't we been having rains as if monsoons are on us when we should have bright sunlight for the crop to ripen and vice versa.

Lets look at what we call "The 1 degree Effect".  What looks as such a small change to us is huge considering that it an average temperature we are talking about. 

We are observing these changes around us for last few years. 

                                                                      








It is not that Global temperatures have not varied over the million of years. It has. The chart below shows these swings since 2500 BC and you can see as to how a small change of 1 degree takes the Earth to Ice ages or Hot Oven. 


In the next post we will see the phenomenon called the Green house effect which helps to maintain the temperature of the earth around 57 Deg F.